I started this thread to provoke thought and dialogue on what I believe to be a forthcoming and serious issue in our industry. One that will not be solved overnight. Although advice is always appreciated, it is not the purpose of this thread.
I only used NYC as an example. You could have replaced NYC with any city or geographical area in the United States. The idea is that I believe driver pay rates are a commodity, and will be as volatile as fuel prices are now, and as insurance was in the past, necessitating the introduction of a driver pay surcharge.
As an added example, suppose your base driver pay is 40 cents a mile. You can get all the drivers you will ever need to travel point to point in Canada, hence no need for additional driver pay. Now, your customer, whether they are a direct customer, 3PL, or load broker, needs you to take loads to the United States. You already have a U.S. rate structure in place, however, your drivers now won't go unless they get paid more to do it. How do you break that bit of bad news to your customer?
It goes without saying that customer dialogue is indeed a necessity. You are going to have to explain this new dynamic in the freight pricing game. The long and short of it is simply supply and demand. There is a huge demand for drivers and an ever shrinking supply, and carriers have zero control over it. The problem is that savvy drivers, and there is getting to be more and more of them, know that they are a hot commodity.
Strictly my opinion, but if you truly do not believe that driver wages based on $35.00/hour or more are coming, and coming soon, then I believe you are doomed to have excessive equipment parked against the fence.
As carriers, we need to get ahead of this curve. We need to make U.S. travel for commercial drivers too attractive to turn away. How many of you get applicants, experienced or not, that only want Canada/Canada runs? When you tell them you have U.S. work, they walk away, and before you can call them back, they already have a job. We are in an era of a nationwide Fort McMurray where commercial transport drivers are concerned.
Shippers, receivers, 3PLs, and load brokers need to understand what the carrier base is facing, and be prepared to help them get what they need to carry on and supply services.
It takes money to buy whiskey boys & girls, and the price of whiskey is going up.